沙田 · 2024-06-15 · 10:02
第 5場
2024-06-15沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為SOFT。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的CAPTAIN WIN勝出，贏出N。BALLISTIC WIN獲得亞軍；FUN N FUN TOGETHER獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門AWESOME TREASURE跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN B 1.10.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 10 | BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 9 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FAMILY JEWEL TT1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER LEGENDS TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | VIEW OF THE WORLD A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 61.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NEBRASKAN PC Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | PACKING BRILLIANT CP/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 3.2 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SPICY KNUCKLES H1/TT1 M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 4 | 19.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 14.7% | 6.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN | 14.0% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | NEBRASKAN | 12.7% | 7.85 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER LEGENDS | 9.3% | 10.71 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 5.8% | 17.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 4.8% | 20.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | BALLISTIC WIN | 4.6% | 21.72 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | PACKING BRILLIANT | 4.0% | 24.89 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | FAMILY JEWEL | 4.0% | 24.94 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 3.6% | 28.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.7% | 37.05 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 64.5
PLACE
3 19
6 21.5
10 36
QUINELLA
3,10 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 92.5
3,10 120
6,10 116.5
FORECAST
3,10 793
TIERCE
3,10,6 4,626
TRIO
3,6,10 929
FIRST 4
3,5,6,10 3,659
QUARTET
3,10,6,5 69,574
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
9/1/3 563
9/1/10 259
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/3,6,10 9,856
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 88.5
1/10 23