沙田 · 2024-06-15 · 08:02
第 1場
2024-06-15沙田第1場，Griffin，途程1000米，跑道評為YIELDING。由L Hewitson策騎、K W Lui訓練的KARATE EXPRESS勝出，贏出1。KA YING RESILIENCE獲得亞軍；SANTORINI獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門KA YING RESILIENCE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KARATE EXPRESS 0.57.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | KA YING RESILIENCE TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SANTORINI CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | PATCH OF COSMO L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 9 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | RUN YES RUN CP E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 14 | 3.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA BANNER CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 8 | 85.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | LORD OF THE ROSE K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 13 | 139.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | SOLAR RIVER TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR CP1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 50.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | SUPREME WINNER K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 120.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SMART ZIPANG B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 6 | 134.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | NEW ASIA GREAT K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 4 | 78.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | ANGELIC CP1/XB1/TT1 A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 12 | 11.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 29.1% | 3.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SANTORINI | 18.6% | 5.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | RUN YES RUN | 10.8% | 9.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 8.4% | 11.86 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | KARATE EXPRESS | 6.2% | 16.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | NEW ASIA GREAT | 5.4% | 18.61 | 13 |
| 7 | 12 | SMILING EMPEROR | 4.9% | 20.30 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | ANGELIC | 4.5% | 22.42 | 14 |
| 9 | 10 | PATCH OF COSMO | 4.3% | 23.49 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | SOLAR RIVER | 3.4% | 29.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 2.8% | 35.31 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | SUPREME WINNER | 0.6% | 154.75 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | SMART ZIPANG | 0.5% | 208.54 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | LORD OF THE ROSE | 0.5% | 219.26 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 151.5
PLACE
4 19.5
7 14.5
8 37.5
QUINELLA
7,8 276.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 47.5
4,8 143
7,8 88.5
FORECAST
8,7 637
TIERCE
8,7,4 3,474
TRIO
4,7,8 413
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 723
QUARTET
8,7,4,10 21,883