Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 10:02
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on SOFT going. CAPTAIN WIN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with BALLISTIC WIN second and FUN N FUN TOGETHER third. The 3.2 favourite AWESOME TREASURE finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN B 1.10.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 10 | BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 9 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FAMILY JEWEL TT1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER LEGENDS TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | VIEW OF THE WORLD A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 61.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NEBRASKAN PC Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | PACKING BRILLIANT CP/TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 10 | 3.2 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SPICY KNUCKLES H1/TT1 M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 4 | 19.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AWESOME TREASURE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 14.7% | 6.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | CAPTAIN WIN | 14.0% | 7.17 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | NEBRASKAN | 12.7% | 7.85 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER LEGENDS | 9.3% | 10.71 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | SHINKANSEN | 5.8% | 17.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 4.8% | 20.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | BALLISTIC WIN | 4.6% | 21.72 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | PACKING BRILLIANT | 4.0% | 24.89 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | FAMILY JEWEL | 4.0% | 24.94 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 3.6% | 28.15 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | DRAGON FOUR SEAS | 2.7% | 37.05 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 64.5
PLACE
3 19
6 21.5
10 36
QUINELLA
3,10 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 92.5
3,10 120
6,10 116.5
FORECAST
3,10 793
TIERCE
3,10,6 4,626
TRIO
3,6,10 929
FIRST 4
3,5,6,10 3,659
QUARTET
3,10,6,5 69,574
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
9/1/3 563
9/1/10 259
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/3,6,10 9,856
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 88.5
1/10 23