Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 17:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT 1.37.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 5 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly B B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 8 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 14 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER CP/TT2 A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY HUNK Led early CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | RELIABLE PROFIT B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 6.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SUNNY BABY CP A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 31.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | BULB PRINCE H/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 17.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 5 | LADY BILLIE H/P M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 103.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on SOFT going. CASA LEGEND, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C W Chang, won by 1/2, with LEATHER MASTER second and SMART BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 18.7% | 5.33 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | SMART BEAUTY | 15.3% | 6.52 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 13.2% | 7.56 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 11.8% | 8.50 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | CASA LEGEND | 9.1% | 11.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 5.1% | 19.51 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | HANG'S CHOICE | 5.0% | 20.06 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.9% | 20.55 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY HUNK | 4.1% | 24.31 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | DIAMOND WINNER | 3.6% | 27.94 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | SUNNY BABY | 3.3% | 30.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | BULB PRINCE | 2.8% | 35.72 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | LEATHER MASTER | 2.4% | 41.40 | 2 |
| 14 | 5 | LADY BILLIE | 0.6% | 162.50 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 45.5
PLACE
4 24
8 66.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
8,9 659
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 238
4,9 73.5
8,9 204.5
FORECAST
9,8 1,053
TIERCE
9,8,4 8,744
TRIO
4,8,9 1,336
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 2,870
QUARTET
9,8,4,12 73,485
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/4,8,9 144,941
2ND DOUBLE
3/8 313
3/9 429