Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 13:18
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on SOFT going. ALL RICHES, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/2, with FORERUNNER second and FUN N GLORY third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ALL RICHES Wire to wire V 1.22.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 2 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | FUN N GLORY XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 12 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | LAUGH TALE Closed strongly XB-/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 5 | 4.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | CLEAR COURAGE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 66.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 65.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR XB H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | WIN SPEED B B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 8 | 141.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | LINK SR-/XB/CP1/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 61.0 | 19 |
| 12 | 14 | FALCON COURT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 14 | 28.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | ALP'S AFFECTION V/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 7 | 100.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 16.0 | 24 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 16.9% | 5.92 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | FORERUNNER | 16.7% | 5.99 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | ALL RICHES | 12.4% | 8.05 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.75 | 14 |
| 5 | 1 | LAUGH TALE | 8.2% | 12.26 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 8.0% | 12.51 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 7.9% | 12.65 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | FALCON COURT | 6.1% | 16.35 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | FUN N GLORY | 5.9% | 16.82 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | CLEAR COURAGE | 3.5% | 28.42 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 2.4% | 41.65 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | LINK | 1.7% | 58.95 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | ALP'S AFFECTION | 1.0% | 97.99 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | WIN SPEED | 0.7% | 141.25 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 30
PLACE
7 16
8 14
9 43.5
QUINELLA
7,8 55
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 26
7,9 88.5
8,9 100
FORECAST
7,8 109
TIERCE
7,8,9 838
TRIO
7,8,9 240
FIRST 4
1,7,8,9 867
QUARTET
7,8,9,1 9,673
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
6/7 90
6/8 21