Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 09:34
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on SOFT going. GLORY ELITE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 2-1/2, with METRO WARRIOR second and BRILLIANT EXPRESS third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GLORY ELITE H 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 1.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR B E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 4.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART XB-/B/TT1 M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING TURN CP1/TT1 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 141.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | DRACO H1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | OMAKASE TT- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 41.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | WISDOM STAR B1/XB1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 116.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY TRIO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 31.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER BEN B1 K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 10 | 130.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CIRCUIT VICTORY Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 68.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GLORY ELITE | 33.3% | 3.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.3% | 11.99 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | DRACO | 7.3% | 13.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE | 7.3% | 13.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | SPICY SO SMART | 6.5% | 15.27 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 6.3% | 15.98 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY TRIO | 5.1% | 19.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | OMAKASE | 4.4% | 22.61 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER BEN | 3.9% | 25.63 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | WISDOM STAR | 3.9% | 25.71 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | WINNING TURN | 0.5% | 198.23 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 11
3 25.5
4 14
QUINELLA
1,3 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 37.5
1,4 20.5
3,4 65.5
FORECAST
1,3 122
TIERCE
1,3,4 355
TRIO
1,3,4 98
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 353
QUARTET
1,3,4,12 3,372
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
9/1 114.5
9/3 204