Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 12:11
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. CAPITAL DELIGHT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with SELF IMPROVEMENT second and VICTORY MOMENTS third. The 3.0 favourite VICTORY MOMENTS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT 1.08.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 6 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 3.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 3 | 7.4 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | YOUTHFUL DEAL B-/SR-/V1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 10.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | JOY COMING B/TT B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 5 | 36.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 6.4 | 13-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HIGHLAND RAHY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 49.0 | 25-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MAGNIAC V/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 25.0 | 33-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 24.0% | 4.17 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL | 15.9% | 6.28 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 15.3% | 6.55 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 11.5% | 8.72 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | MUST GO | 8.3% | 12.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 8.0% | 12.58 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.82 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | JOY COMING | 4.9% | 20.53 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | MAGNIAC | 3.6% | 27.59 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 1.8% | 54.26 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 53.5
PLACE
1 13
5 18.5
7 23.5
QUINELLA
5,7 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 33
1,7 42
5,7 56.5
FORECAST
5,7 343
TIERCE
5,7,1 991
TRIO
1,5,7 143
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 205
QUARTET
5,7,1,4 6,423
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
10/5 684
10/7 151