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Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 12:44

Race 9

Class 3 SOFT 1400m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on SOFT going. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with PATCH OF THETA second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite PATCH OF THETA finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.23.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly XB-/CP/H 1.23.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P F Yiu 6 4.0 3/4
2 1 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly H/XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 2.7 3/4
3 2 BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P Z Purton · J Size 9 6.7 3-3/4
4 4 FANTASTIC FUN XB1/TT1 M L Yeung · C Fownes 2 9.4 3-3/4
5 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY Led early PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 8 9.2 5-1/4
6 7 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE Closed strongly XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 10 36.0 6
7 11 STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 4 12.0 8-3/4
8 9 NORTHERN BEACHES CP L Hewitson · W Y So 3 12.0 10-1/2
9 10 WRITTEN CASA B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 5 98.0 12-1/2
10 5 HYPER DRAGON BALL V1/TT K Teetan · T P Yung 1 25.0 ML
8 EIGHTEEN PALMS Y L Chung · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNLIGHT POWER2. PATCH OF THETA+0.75L3. BEAUTY FIT+3.75L4. FANTASTIC FUN+3.75L5. HEALTHY HEALTHY+5.25L6. ACROSS DA UNIVERSE+6L7. STELLAR SWIFT+8.75L8. NORTHERN BEACHES+10.5L9. WRITTEN CASA+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick PATCH OF THETA (36.3%) finished 2nd — the winner SUNLIGHT POWER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PATCH OF THETA 36.3% 2.76 2
2 6 SUNLIGHT POWER 15.2% 6.56 1
3 2 BEAUTY FIT 12.8% 7.80 3
4 9 NORTHERN BEACHES 7.6% 13.20 8
5 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY 6.8% 14.81 5
6 11 STELLAR SWIFT 6.6% 15.14 7
7 5 HYPER DRAGON BALL 5.7% 17.46 10
8 7 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 4.2% 23.72 6
9 4 FANTASTIC FUN 4.0% 25.29 4
10 10 WRITTEN CASA 0.8% 122.28 9
PATCH OF THETASUNLIGHT POWER — wonBEAUTY FITNORTHERN BEACHESHEALTHY HEALTHYSTELLAR SWIFTHYPER DRAGON BALLACROSS DA UNIVERSEFANTASTIC FUNWRITTEN CASA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 40.5

PLACE

1 12.5

2 24

6 14.5

QUINELLA

1,6 56.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 39

1,6 24.5

2,6 55.5

FORECAST

6,1 122

TIERCE

6,1,2 477

TRIO

1,2,6 95

FIRST 4

1,2,4,6 146

QUARTET

6,1,2,4 2,130

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/1,2,6,8 1,671

8TH DOUBLE

5/1,8 38.5

5/6 198.5