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Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 20:43

Race 9

Class 3 SOFT 1400m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.36
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly XB-/CP/H 1.23.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P F Yiu 6 4.0 3/4
2 1 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly H/XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 2.7 3/4
3 2 BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P Z Purton · J Size 9 6.7 3-3/4
4 4 FANTASTIC FUN XB1/TT1 M L Yeung · C Fownes 2 9.4 3-3/4
5 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY Led early PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng 8 9.2 5-1/4
6 7 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE Closed strongly XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 10 36.0 6
7 11 STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 4 12.0 8-3/4
8 9 NORTHERN BEACHES CP L Hewitson · W Y So 3 12.0 10-1/2
9 10 WRITTEN CASA B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 5 98.0 12-1/2
10 5 HYPER DRAGON BALL V1/TT K Teetan · T P Yung 1 25.0 ML
— 8 EIGHTEEN PALMS Y L Chung · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on SOFT going. SUNLIGHT POWER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with PATCH OF THETA second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite PATCH OF THETA finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNLIGHT POWER—2. PATCH OF THETA+0.75L3. BEAUTY FIT+3.75L4. FANTASTIC FUN+3.75L5. HEALTHY HEALTHY+5.25L6. ACROSS DA UNIVERSE+6L7. STELLAR SWIFT+8.75L8. NORTHERN BEACHES+10.5L9. WRITTEN CASA+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick PATCH OF THETA (36.3%) finished 2nd — the winner SUNLIGHT POWER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PATCH OF THETA 36.3% 2.76 2
2 6 SUNLIGHT POWER 15.2% 6.56 1
3 2 BEAUTY FIT 12.8% 7.80 3
4 9 NORTHERN BEACHES 7.6% 13.20 8
5 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY 6.8% 14.81 5
6 11 STELLAR SWIFT 6.6% 15.14 7
7 5 HYPER DRAGON BALL 5.7% 17.46 10
8 7 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 4.2% 23.72 6
9 4 FANTASTIC FUN 4.0% 25.29 4
10 10 WRITTEN CASA 0.8% 122.28 9
PATCH OF THETASUNLIGHT POWER — wonBEAUTY FITNORTHERN BEACHESHEALTHY HEALTHYSTELLAR SWIFTHYPER DRAGON BALLACROSS DA UNIVERSEFANTASTIC FUNWRITTEN CASA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 40.5

PLACE

1 12.5

2 24

6 14.5

QUINELLA

1,6 56.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 39

1,6 24.5

2,6 55.5

FORECAST

6,1 122

TIERCE

6,1,2 477

TRIO

1,2,6 95

FIRST 4

1,2,4,6 146

QUARTET

6,1,2,4 2,130

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/1,2,6,8 1,671

8TH DOUBLE

5/1,8 38.5

5/6 198.5