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Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 10:33

Race 6

Class 3 SOFT 1200m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on SOFT going. CALL ME GLORIOUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 6-1/2, with GRACIOUS EXPRESS second and VICTOR THE RAPID third. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.10.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 CALL ME GLORIOUS 1.10.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui 2 1.4 6-1/2
2 3 GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP B Avdulla · P F Yiu 9 7.9 6-1/2
3 10 VICTOR THE RAPID XB1 C L Chau · D J Whyte 1 20.0 7
4 1 IMA SINGLE MAN V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 16.0 9-3/4
5 4 GREAT STATE TT K De Melo · W Y So 10 33.0 11-1/2
6 8 MIGHTY COMMANDER TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes 3 17.0 12
7 5 PRESTIGE ALWAYS B K Teetan · P C Ng 4 10.0 13
8 9 RICH HORSE A Badel · D J Hall 6 75.0 17
9 7 PULSAR STRIDER B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 5 28.0 17-1/2
10 6 AORAKI SUMMIT CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 7 24.0 28-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALL ME GLORIOUS2. GRACIOUS EXPRESS+6.5L3. VICTOR THE RAPID+7L4. IMA SINGLE MAN+9.75L5. GREAT STATE+11.5L6. MIGHTY COMMANDER+12L7. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+13L8. RICH HORSE+17L9. PULSAR STRIDER+17.5L10. AORAKI SUMMIT+28.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick CALL ME GLORIOUS (57.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 CALL ME GLORIOUS 57.3% 1.74 1
2 3 GRACIOUS EXPRESS 11.9% 8.38 2
3 5 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 8.0% 12.50 7
4 6 AORAKI SUMMIT 5.5% 18.10 10
5 10 VICTOR THE RAPID 4.3% 23.22 3
6 1 IMA SINGLE MAN 4.0% 24.93 4
7 8 MIGHTY COMMANDER 3.5% 28.44 6
8 9 RICH HORSE 2.7% 36.59 8
9 4 GREAT STATE 1.3% 74.08 5
10 7 PULSAR STRIDER 1.3% 78.40 9
CALL ME GLORIOUS — wonGRACIOUS EXPRESSPRESTIGE ALWAYSAORAKI SUMMITVICTOR THE RAPIDIMA SINGLE MANMIGHTY COMMANDERRICH HORSEGREAT STATEPULSAR STRIDER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 14.5

PLACE

2 11.5

3 14.5

10 38.5

QUINELLA

2,3 41.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 21

2,10 56.5

3,10 140.5

FORECAST

2,3 50

TIERCE

2,3,10 570

TRIO

2,3,10 237

FIRST 4

1,2,3,10 312

QUARTET

2,3,10,1 2,925

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

3/2 104.5

3/3 77.5