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Sha Tin · 2024-06-15 · 11:42

Race 7

Class 4 WET SLOW 1200m 12 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. ACA POWER, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with ROBOT KNIGHT second and TOP SCORER third. The 3.9 favourite TOP SCORER finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 ACA POWER CP 1.09.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall 5 6.9 1-1/4
2 6 ROBOT KNIGHT TT L Ferraris · P C Ng 6 11.0 1-1/4
3 2 TOP SCORER P1 H Bowman · J Size 4 3.9 2-1/2
4 5 HINOKAMI KAGURA PC/TT H Bentley · J Richards 2 10.0 2-1/2
5 8 CRAZY TREASURE B M Chadwick · M Newnham 9 10.0 2-3/4
6 9 STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT B Thompson · W Y So 12 34.0 3-1/2
7 1 FORTUNE WHISKEY H/P H T Mo · C W Chang 10 56.0 4-3/4
8 7 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT Z Purton · C S Shum 3 7.9 5-1/2
9 3 EVERYONE'S VICTORY CP/H/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor 1 9.5 5-3/4
10 11 HIGH RISE POWER C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 25.0 8-1/4
11 12 DAILY TROPHY B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 8 6.3 9-1/2
12 4 THE GREAT MASTER Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 11 15.0 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ACA POWER2. ROBOT KNIGHT+1.25L3. TOP SCORER+2.5L4. HINOKAMI KAGURA+2.5L5. CRAZY TREASURE+2.75L6. STRIVE FOR GLORY+3.5L7. FORTUNE WHISKEY+4.75L8. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+5.5L9. EVERYONE'S VICTORY+5.75L10. HIGH RISE POWER+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR (32.4%) finished 8th — the winner ACA POWER was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 32.4% 3.08 8
2 2 TOP SCORER 23.4% 4.27 3
3 5 HINOKAMI KAGURA 8.8% 11.36 4
4 12 DAILY TROPHY 7.9% 12.69 11
5 3 EVERYONE'S VICTORY 7.5% 13.37 9
6 8 CRAZY TREASURE 4.7% 21.22 5
7 6 ROBOT KNIGHT 4.5% 22.41 2
8 10 ACA POWER 4.1% 24.38 1
9 11 HIGH RISE POWER 3.0% 33.53 10
10 4 THE GREAT MASTER 2.0% 49.78 12
11 9 STRIVE FOR GLORY 1.3% 78.33 6
12 1 FORTUNE WHISKEY 0.5% 209.71 7
TRIUMPHANT WARRIORTOP SCORERHINOKAMI KAGURADAILY TROPHYEVERYONE'S VICTORYCRAZY TREASUREROBOT KNIGHTACA POWER — wonHIGH RISE POWERTHE GREAT MASTERSTRIVE FOR GLORYFORTUNE WHISKEY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 69

PLACE

2 17

6 31

10 24

QUINELLA

6,10 516

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 113.5

2,10 58.5

6,10 146

FORECAST

10,6 917

TIERCE

10,6,2 4,556

TRIO

2,6,10 702

FIRST 4

2,5,6,10 1,133

QUARTET

10,6,2,5 31,837

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,10/2,6,10 17,314

6TH DOUBLE

2/6 25.5

2/10 150

TRIPLE TRIO

3,6,10/2,3,10/2,6,10 1,476,224

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,6,10/2,3,10/Any Combination 2,795