沙田 · 2024-07-06 · 12:49
第 10場
2024-07-06沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的FULL CREDIT勝出，贏出1/2。POLARIS獲得亞軍；CAPTAIN WIN獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門STAR CLUB跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FULL CREDIT 1.08.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | POLARIS B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 58.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | CAPTAIN WIN B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | STAR CLUB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LO PAN SPIRIT B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 3.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | GREAT STATE TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 22.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 11 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | YEAH BUDDY TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 6 | 89.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | VICTOR THE RAPID XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | STAR CLUB | 32.3% | 3.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 23.5% | 4.25 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | FULL CREDIT | 17.0% | 5.89 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 6.6% | 15.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | CAPTAIN WIN | 6.2% | 16.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 3.0% | 32.80 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 3.0% | 33.37 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 2.3% | 44.18 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 2.2% | 44.69 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | POLARIS | 2.2% | 45.89 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | GREAT STATE | 0.9% | 117.54 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | YEAH BUDDY | 0.8% | 121.35 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 36.5
PLACE
3 14
8 111
10 38
QUINELLA
3,8 939.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 264
3,10 88
8,10 787
FORECAST
3,8 1,326
TIERCE
3,8,10 14,260
TRIO
3,8,10 3,584
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 2,657
3,8,9,10 1,157
QUARTET
3,8,10,6 58,966
3,8,10,9 36,134
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
8/9/3 1,459
8/9/8 3,136
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/3,8,10 63,796
9TH DOUBLE
9/3 217
9/8 342
SIX UP
4/11/5/8/9/3 1,623,892
4,12/11,14/1,5/8,12/5,9/3,8 59,318
1 [Z Purton] —
21 [Others] —