沙田 · 2024-07-06 · 10:37
第 6場
2024-07-06沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的MISSION VOICE勝出，贏出N。CHATER GOLD獲得亞軍；SUPER UNICORN獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.0倍大熱門LUCKY TOUCH跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MISSION VOICE 一路領先 B 1.34.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 14 | CHATER GOLD 後段發力 CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 3 | 31.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER UNICORN 後段發力 H-/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 8.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | MEEPMEEP 後段發力 B/E/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | TRADITION 後段發力 M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY TOUCH B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 3.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ONLY U 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY 後段發力 CP-/B1 A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 10 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | COMING PATCH C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 8.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | LAUGH TALE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 48.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | WAH MAY WAI WAI H- Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 54.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY TOUCH | 18.2% | 5.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 13 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 11.2% | 8.95 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER UNICORN | 10.4% | 9.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | LET'S DO IT | 9.9% | 10.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | COMING PATCH | 7.4% | 13.44 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | MEEPMEEP | 5.7% | 17.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.8% | 20.80 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | LAUGH TALE | 4.6% | 21.68 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | MISSION VOICE | 4.0% | 24.76 | 1 |
| 11 | 14 | CHATER GOLD | 3.2% | 31.18 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | ONLY U | 3.1% | 31.77 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | TRADITION | 3.0% | 33.08 | 7 |
| 14 | 1 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 0.9% | 107.63 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 102
PLACE
10 27.5
11 36
14 59.5
QUINELLA
11,14 1,265
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 146.5
10,14 254.5
11,14 438
FORECAST
11,14 2,546
TIERCE
11,14,10 25,212
TRIO
10,11,14 3,918
FIRST 4
10,11,13,14 6,091
QUARTET
11,14,10,13 165,007
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/10,11,14 379,923
5TH DOUBLE
4/11 836.5
4/14 201
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,11/2,4,12/Any Combination 72,332