Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 10:37
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MISSION VOICE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with CHATER GOLD second and SUPER UNICORN third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MISSION VOICE Wire to wire B 1.34.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 14 | CHATER GOLD Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 3 | 31.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly H-/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 2 | 8.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly B/E/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | TRADITION Closed strongly M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY TOUCH B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 14 | 3.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ONLY U Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly CP-/B1 A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 10 | 8.2 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | COMING PATCH C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 8.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | LAUGH TALE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 48.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | WAH MAY WAI WAI H- Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 54.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY TOUCH | 18.2% | 5.49 | 8 |
| 2 | 13 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 13.4% | 7.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 11.2% | 8.95 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER UNICORN | 10.4% | 9.64 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | LET'S DO IT | 9.9% | 10.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | COMING PATCH | 7.4% | 13.44 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | MEEPMEEP | 5.7% | 17.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.8% | 20.80 | 13 |
| 9 | 3 | LAUGH TALE | 4.6% | 21.68 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | MISSION VOICE | 4.0% | 24.76 | 1 |
| 11 | 14 | CHATER GOLD | 3.2% | 31.18 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | ONLY U | 3.1% | 31.77 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | TRADITION | 3.0% | 33.08 | 7 |
| 14 | 1 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 0.9% | 107.63 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 102
PLACE
10 27.5
11 36
14 59.5
QUINELLA
11,14 1,265
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 146.5
10,14 254.5
11,14 438
FORECAST
11,14 2,546
TIERCE
11,14,10 25,212
TRIO
10,11,14 3,918
FIRST 4
10,11,13,14 6,091
QUARTET
11,14,10,13 165,007
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/10,11,14 379,923
5TH DOUBLE
4/11 836.5
4/14 201
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,8,11/2,4,12/Any Combination 72,332