Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 10:07
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. COURIER ALADDIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 3/4, with KING OBERON second and FUN N FUN TOGETHER third. The 2.6 favourite TOP SCORER did not finish.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COURIER ALADDIN CP1/XB1/TT1 1.08.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | KING OBERON L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | BLAZING WIND TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 3 | 41.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT CP/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 12 | 118.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DRAGON JOY B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 8 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE PC/TT1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SOLAR UP B-/H1/TT- M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 95.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | FLYING ROMANTIC H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 34.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FOXHUNTER KING CP1/TT1 H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 60.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | LIFE OF STONE H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 83.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 1 | TOP SCORER P- H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 2.6 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 23.6% | 4.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | COURIER ALADDIN | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | DRAGON JOY | 15.7% | 6.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 13.1% | 7.61 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | KING OBERON | 11.4% | 8.74 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | LIFE OF STONE | 4.7% | 21.49 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 3.1% | 32.43 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | BLAZING WIND | 2.5% | 39.73 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | SOLAR UP | 1.5% | 68.51 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT | 1.3% | 77.58 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | FOXHUNTER KING | 1.1% | 93.35 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 51
PLACE
2 16
4 21
12 37
QUINELLA
4,12 346
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 51.5
2,12 89
4,12 89.5
FORECAST
4,12 575
TIERCE
4,12,2 3,004
TRIO
2,4,12 558
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 4,739
QUARTET
4,12,2,3 79,522
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/6/4 10,360
1/6/12 4,571
4TH DOUBLE
6/4 2,487
6/12 1,054.5