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Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 19:06

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly E/P 1.21.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size 4 9.6 1/2
2 1 HASTEN DELIGHT Led early B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 11 15.0 1/2
3 3 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H A Hamelin · P F Yiu 7 4.4 3/4
4 10 SUPER GOLDI Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor 1 5.4 1-1/2
5 7 TURIN STARSPANGLED TT1 A Atzeni · P C Ng 8 62.0 2-1/2
6 2 FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · K L Man 5 37.0 4
6 11 SWEET BRIAR V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 9.8 4
8 13 OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So 3 34.0 4
9 8 FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 2 8.1 6
10 9 LESLIE Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang 10 18.0 6-1/2
11 4 BEAUTY GLORY CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 23.0 7-1/2
12 12 THUNDER BLINK Closed strongly M Chadwick · K H Ting 6 4.4 8
13 6 MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 12 68.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY FIT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with HASTEN DELIGHT second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite SUNLIGHT POWER finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY FIT—2. HASTEN DELIGHT+0.5L3. SUNLIGHT POWER+0.75L4. SUPER GOLDI+1.5L5. TURIN STARSPANGLED+2.5L6. FIND MY LOVE+4L6. SWEET BRIAR+4L8. OUR LUCKY GLORY+4L9. FANTASTIC FUN+6L10. LESLIE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick THUNDER BLINK (23.2%) finished 12th — the winner BEAUTY FIT was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 THUNDER BLINK 23.2% 4.31 12
2 10 SUPER GOLDI 21.7% 4.61 4
3 8 FANTASTIC FUN 9.4% 10.67 9
4 3 SUNLIGHT POWER 8.6% 11.63 3
5 1 HASTEN DELIGHT 8.3% 12.05 2
6 5 BEAUTY FIT 8.1% 12.28 1
7 11 SWEET BRIAR 6.1% 16.33 6
8 9 LESLIE 4.6% 21.72 10
9 13 OUR LUCKY GLORY 3.6% 28.06 8
10 4 BEAUTY GLORY 2.0% 50.24 11
11 6 MAJESTIC COLOUR 1.9% 52.89 13
12 2 FIND MY LOVE 1.6% 63.43 6
13 7 TURIN STARSPANGLED 0.9% 107.35 5
THUNDER BLINKSUPER GOLDIFANTASTIC FUNSUNLIGHT POWERHASTEN DELIGHTBEAUTY FIT — wonSWEET BRIARLESLIEOUR LUCKY GLORYBEAUTY GLORYMAJESTIC COLOURFIND MY LOVETURIN STARSPANGLED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 96.5

PLACE

1 53.5

3 17

5 27.5

QUINELLA

1,5 669.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 120

1,5 192

3,5 71

FORECAST

5,1 1,475

TIERCE

5,1,3 7,625

TRIO

1,3,5 1,006

FIRST 4

1,3,5,10 1,084

QUARTET

5,1,3,10 34,363

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

11/1 494

11/5 1,536.5