Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 08:02
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SANTORINI, ridden by K Teetan and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with KARATE EXPRESS second and CALIFORNIA BANNER third. The 2.3 favourite KARATE EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SANTORINI CP 1.09.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | KARATE EXPRESS L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 4 | 2.3 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | CALIFORNIA BANNER CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 11 | 138.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | KA YING RESILIENCE TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | PATCH OF COSMO L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE CP/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 139.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | CASHISCASH CP1/XB1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 6 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GOOD PROSPECT XB1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 90.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR CP-/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 46.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SMART ZIPANG B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 166.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KA YING RESILIENCE | 26.3% | 3.80 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | KARATE EXPRESS | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | SANTORINI | 21.3% | 4.69 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | PATCH OF COSMO | 7.7% | 12.91 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 7.2% | 13.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | CASHISCASH | 4.9% | 20.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | GOOD PROSPECT | 4.2% | 23.83 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 1.6% | 63.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR | 1.5% | 65.34 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 1.5% | 66.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPREME WINNER | 0.7% | 140.66 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | SMART ZIPANG | 0.5% | 218.53 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 44.5
PLACE
1 12
2 258
4 14
QUINELLA
1,4 47
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 571
1,4 19
2,4 559.5
FORECAST
4,1 121
TIERCE
4,1,2 6,980
TRIO
1,2,4 1,563
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 577
QUARTET
4,1,2,9 19,562