Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 08:37
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SONIC BOOM, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by 1/2, with EASY TWO second and SPEEDY FORTUNE third. The 3.9 favourite SPEEDY FORTUNE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SONIC BOOM TT 1.09.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | EASY TWO H-/V/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 12 | 36.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | PATCH OF WATCH B/SR/TT2 B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | DEVIL AND GOLD B- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 1 | 46.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HIGH RISE POWER L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MAGIC TRAVELLER B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 5 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | CALIFORNIA ICON TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BEAT HOLLOW K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | COOL BLUE V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 4.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SMART FOLKS B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 8 | 11.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COOL BLUE | 20.2% | 4.95 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 18.6% | 5.38 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | DAILY TROPHY | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | SONIC BOOM | 9.2% | 10.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | BEAT HOLLOW | 9.0% | 11.10 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | HIGH RISE POWER | 5.4% | 18.62 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | EASY TWO | 5.0% | 19.96 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | PATCH OF WATCH | 4.6% | 21.86 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 3.8% | 26.03 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 3.4% | 29.11 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | SMART FOLKS | 3.3% | 29.97 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 3.0% | 32.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 142
PLACE
2 16.5
6 37.5
11 88.5
QUINELLA
6,11 1,861.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 125
2,11 232.5
6,11 556
FORECAST
6,11 3,497
TIERCE
6,11,2 14,882
TRIO
2,6,11 2,350
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 2,324
QUARTET
6,11,2,1 75,514
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/6 608.5
4/11 201
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,6,11 236,581