Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 17:06
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.34.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.4 | NOSE |
| 2 | 14 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 7 | 47.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 8 | CHARMANDER V1 K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 6 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 10 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY HUNK CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 34.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT2 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | BULB PRINCE H/CP1/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 1 | 41.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly P/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 14 | 38.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | FOXHUNTER WAY Led early H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 11 | 36.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | ASIAN ONE B/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER CP/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 12 | 16.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 3 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 8 | 48.0 | 13-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SMART BEAUTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by NOSE, with DIAMOND WINNER second and CHARMANDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SMART BEAUTY | 26.3% | 3.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 10.2% | 9.76 | 12 |
| 3 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE | 9.2% | 10.93 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | CHARMANDER | 8.2% | 12.20 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | ASIAN ONE | 8.2% | 12.24 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 7.8% | 12.84 | 13 |
| 7 | 12 | STAR OF GLORY | 6.7% | 15.01 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY HUNK | 6.2% | 16.15 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 4.4% | 22.97 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | BULB PRINCE | 3.3% | 30.36 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.2% | 30.86 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 3.2% | 31.50 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | DIAMOND WINNER | 1.9% | 51.94 | 2 |
| 14 | 7 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 1.3% | 77.06 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13
8 21
14 99.5
QUINELLA
1,14 637.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 38
1,14 207
8,14 320.5
FORECAST
1,14 835
TIERCE
1,14,8 5,309
TRIO
1,8,14 865
FIRST 4
1,6,8,14 1,707
QUARTET
1,14,8,6 38,040
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
6/1 629.5
6/14 806.5