Sha Tin · 2024-07-06 · 12:14
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-07-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING MILES, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1/2, with THE WINNABE second and GRACIOUS EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite THE WINNABE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KING MILES Closed strongly 1.21.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | THE WINNABE Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GIDDY UP Closed strongly P-/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 2 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | NOT USUAL STAR Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 13 | 59.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | HIGHLAND RAHY Led early TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 134.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT Closed strongly CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | GALVANIC Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 54.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 124.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 38.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | MIGHTY STEED M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 4 | 81.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | GREENWICH TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 7.8 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | SILVER KING H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 79.0 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KING MILES | 35.6% | 2.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | THE WINNABE | 32.6% | 3.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GREENWICH | 6.3% | 15.91 | 12 |
| 4 | 8 | GALVANIC | 6.1% | 16.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 5.7% | 17.53 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | GIDDY UP | 4.6% | 21.64 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | NOT USUAL STAR | 2.0% | 49.81 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | MIGHTY STEED | 2.0% | 50.52 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | LOVERO | 1.8% | 54.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | MOJAVE DESERT | 1.3% | 74.80 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | HARMONY GALAXY | 0.7% | 137.26 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | SILVER KING | 0.7% | 138.21 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 0.5% | 206.66 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 41.5
PLACE
2 26
5 11.5
9 13
QUINELLA
5,9 26.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 35
2,9 47.5
5,9 15.5
FORECAST
9,5 90
TIERCE
9,5,2 355
TRIO
2,5,9 66
FIRST 4
2,5,6,9 123
QUARTET
9,5,2,6 1,998
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
8/5 22
8/9 173