沙田 · 2024-07-06 · 11:39
第 8場
2024-07-06沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Thompson策騎、T P Yung訓練的BALLISTIC WIN勝出，贏出1-1/4。MASTER OF ALL獲得亞軍；ENJOY GOLF獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門CHATEAUNEUF跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BALLISTIC WIN 後段發力 1.21.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 7 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF 後段發力 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 6 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SWEET SMILE 後段發力 H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF 後段發力 TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ALL RICHES V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | WIN SPEED B K C Leung · M Newnham | K C Leung | M Newnham | 1 | 103.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD 後段發力 B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 13 | 36.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | AMAZING DUCK CP L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 14 | 9.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | MARIO 後段發力 B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 11 | 83.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MILES AWAY A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 45.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | RUBY SAILING TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 13.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | CLEAR COURAGE XB1/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 53.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | FORTUNE RACER H/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 3 | 111.0 | 22 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF | 25.1% | 3.98 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | MASTER OF ALL | 14.2% | 7.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | ALL RICHES | 9.5% | 10.50 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | RUBY SAILING | 7.4% | 13.43 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | BALLISTIC WIN | 5.5% | 18.11 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | SWEET SMILE | 4.7% | 21.15 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING DUCK | 4.7% | 21.17 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.0% | 33.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | CLEAR COURAGE | 2.3% | 44.10 | 13 |
| 11 | 7 | MILES AWAY | 1.4% | 72.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | MARIO | 1.3% | 74.56 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | WIN SPEED | 0.9% | 106.88 | 7 |
| 14 | 6 | FORTUNE RACER | 0.7% | 146.26 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 91.5
PLACE
1 16.5
8 25.5
12 33.5
QUINELLA
8,12 381.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 82
1,12 98
8,12 134
FORECAST
8,12 702
TIERCE
8,12,1 4,294
TRIO
1,8,12 657
FIRST 4
1,8,9,12 1,849
QUARTET
8,12,1,9 37,729
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,5/1,8,12 42,636
7TH DOUBLE
5/8 846
5/12 164