沙田 · 2024-07-06 · 09:37
第 4場
2024-07-06沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K H Chan策騎、C S Shum訓練的SHANGHAI STYLE勝出，贏出2。HINOKAMI KAGURA獲得亞軍；CRAZY TREASURE獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門ROBOT KNIGHT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 1 | 53.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HINOKAMI KAGURA PC/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 9 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | CRAZY TREASURE B M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | ROBOT KNIGHT CP1/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 2.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 6.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | CURRAHEE H-/CP1/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | EURO ROCKS B/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SKY SONG TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 10 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ACE VICTORY CP1/TT2 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 48.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | HAPPY HOLIDAY CP1/TT1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 12 | 17.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FLYING DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SAVVY CHIC · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 32.1% | 3.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY HOLIDAY | 12.4% | 8.09 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | ACA POWER | 10.3% | 9.71 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 8.7% | 11.51 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | CRAZY TREASURE | 6.7% | 14.99 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 6.4% | 15.73 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | CURRAHEE | 5.7% | 17.66 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 4.8% | 20.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | SKY SONG | 4.4% | 22.88 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 3.9% | 25.85 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | EURO ROCKS | 2.5% | 39.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | ACE VICTORY | 2.3% | 43.90 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 538.5
PLACE
6 73.5
8 21.5
11 20.5
QUINELLA
6,8 2,013.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 388
6,11 409.5
8,11 75
FORECAST
6,8 4,777
TIERCE
6,8,11 45,831
TRIO
6,8,11 4,255
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 2,117
QUARTET
6,8,11,3 85,845
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,14/6,8,11 1,028,315
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 1,573
1/8 29