跑馬地 · 2024-07-10 · 10:37
第 1場
2024-07-10跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的GOODMANSHIP勝出，贏出1/2。HAPPY TANGO獲得亞軍；GALLANT GOODY獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門HAPPY TANGO跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT 0.56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT GOODY M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 58.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | PLENTIFUL CP/H/XB L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 11 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | NOBLE ONE B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | MULTIMORE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 6.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | AUGUST MOON BO/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 12 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | EASY TWO V/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 3 | 5.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | KING INVINCIBLE B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 17.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | JAZZ CLUB H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 5 | 7.1 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY TANGO | 16.4% | 6.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | MULTIMORE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | EASY TWO | 12.0% | 8.35 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | JAZZ CLUB | 11.5% | 8.69 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | GOODMANSHIP | 10.3% | 9.75 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | NOBLE ONE | 10.1% | 9.87 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | KING INVINCIBLE | 8.4% | 11.90 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | PLENTIFUL | 6.4% | 15.52 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | GALLANT GOODY | 3.9% | 25.83 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | PHILOS | 3.7% | 26.76 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | AUGUST MOON | 2.9% | 34.20 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | PRESTIGE MOOCHI | 1.9% | 53.68 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 196.5
PLACE
1 13
5 124.5
10 46.5
QUINELLA
1,10 237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 306
1,10 91
5,10 1,080.5
FORECAST
10,1 753
TIERCE
10,1,5 25,623
TRIO
1,5,10 4,174
FIRST 4
1,3,5,10 10,211
QUARTET
10,1,5,3 261,083