跑馬地 · 2024-07-10 · 12:37
第 5場
2024-07-10跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GIANT LEAP勝出，贏出1-3/4。PRIME MORTAR獲得亞軍；CAMINO獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GIANT LEAP B 1.09.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | CAMINO H/P C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | JOY COMING B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 7.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION CP2/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | VANTASTIC CHOICE A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | ALP'S AFFECTION V/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 89.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 89.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GREAT ACHIEVER B2/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 10.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CONTI CONTI CP1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 93.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GIANT LEAP | 28.9% | 3.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR | 16.9% | 5.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | CAMINO | 13.5% | 7.40 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 10.1% | 9.86 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | JOY COMING | 9.6% | 10.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | JOLLY COMPANION | 6.3% | 15.76 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.0% | 20.07 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | VANTASTIC CHOICE | 4.4% | 22.89 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART LEADER | 2.6% | 38.55 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 1.3% | 74.36 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | CONTI CONTI | 0.9% | 108.02 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | ALP'S AFFECTION | 0.5% | 206.46 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 35.5
PLACE
2 16
5 16
9 15.5
QUINELLA
2,9 76.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 30
2,9 31.5
5,9 35
FORECAST
9,2 158
TIERCE
9,2,5 508
TRIO
2,5,9 69
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 74
QUARTET
9,2,5,1 1,782
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
11/12/2 91
11/12/9 380
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,12/2,5,9 793
4TH DOUBLE
12/2 22.5
12/9 128.5