跑馬地 · 2024-07-10 · 13:37
第 7場
2024-07-10跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的PRINCE OF PORTY勝出，贏出N。STRIVE FOR GLORY獲得亞軍；CHARITY FOR ALL獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRINCE OF PORTY CP-/B1/TT 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 2.2 | N |
| 2 | 11 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 29.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | CHARITY FOR ALL TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | NEBRASKAN PC Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BULB EMPEROR B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 6 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GIMME FIVE K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 9.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CAMP FIRE H/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LAPRAS CP2/TT K De Melo · W K Mo | K De Melo | W K Mo | 5 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | PERFECTO MOMENTS CP L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 65.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY HORSE H/P/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 9 | 30.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | FANCY STAR PC/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 3 | 13.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LEAN MASTER | 18.5% | 5.40 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | PRINCE OF PORTY | 16.9% | 5.92 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | NEBRASKAN | 14.2% | 7.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | GIMME FIVE | 12.8% | 7.80 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY HORSE | 11.2% | 8.90 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | LAPRAS | 7.3% | 13.75 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 6.4% | 15.58 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CAMP FIRE | 4.5% | 22.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | FANCY STAR | 3.1% | 32.76 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 2.6% | 38.45 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | CHARITY FOR ALL | 1.3% | 77.02 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | BULB EMPEROR | 1.2% | 85.12 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 22.5
PLACE
3 11.5
5 70.5
11 54
QUINELLA
3,11 271.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 107.5
3,11 100.5
5,11 720.5
FORECAST
3,11 367
TIERCE
3,11,5 4,811
TRIO
3,5,11 1,588
FIRST 4
2,3,5,11 3,271
QUARTET
3,11,5,2 52,356
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,9/3,5,11 231,502
6TH DOUBLE
9/3 374.5
9/11 526
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,9/5,6,9/3,5,11 3,837,302
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,9/5,6,9/Any Combination 649