跑馬地 · 2024-07-10 · 12:07
第 4場
2024-07-10跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Whyte訓練的LUCKY PLANET勝出，贏出2-1/4。SIGHT HERO獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | SIGHT HERO B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HAROLD WIN B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | BOWSER H1/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 10 | 34.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | VALHALLA XB/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | SKYEY BLUE B2 Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 2 | 118.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN CHAMPION CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 36.0 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE V/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 40.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | YODA'S CHOICE PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 7 | 8.7 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | AMAZING ACE TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 16.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | CIRCUIT TEN H/P/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 11 | 83.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 32.0 | 23-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LUCKY PLANET | 23.0% | 4.34 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HAROLD WIN | 21.7% | 4.61 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | VALHALLA | 13.7% | 7.31 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | YODA'S CHOICE | 9.8% | 10.24 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZING ACE | 8.9% | 11.21 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN CHAMPION | 5.4% | 18.39 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | SIGHT HERO | 4.7% | 21.22 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | BOWSER | 4.5% | 22.45 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.4% | 29.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING | 3.0% | 33.28 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | CIRCUIT TEN | 1.3% | 77.40 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | SKYEY BLUE | 0.6% | 159.58 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 26.5
PLACE
4 13.5
5 24
12 13
QUINELLA
5,12 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 53.5
4,12 20
5,12 42
FORECAST
12,5 192
TIERCE
12,5,4 548
TRIO
4,5,12 105
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 585
QUARTET
12,5,4,1 9,608
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
11/5 57.5
11/12 83