沙田 · 2024-09-15
第 9場
2024-09-15沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的MAGIC CONTROL勝出，贏出1。STELLAR EXPRESS獲得亞軍；CELESTIAL COLOURS獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門STELLAR EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL TT 0.55.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | STELLAR EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B-/V2/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 3 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FLYING HIGH TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 7 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MIGHTY COMMANDER H1/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 71.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | CARROLL STREET SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SAVVY BRILLIANT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 8.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | ETERNAL FORTUNE Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 86.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | MULTISUPER B-/TT- P N Wong · P F Yiu | P N Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 13 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PHOENIX LIGHT H E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 4 | 52.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 65.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 18.7% | 5.35 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 13.0% | 7.68 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 11.9% | 8.37 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | MULTISUPER | 10.6% | 9.40 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING HIGH | 10.3% | 9.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 6.7% | 14.82 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 5.1% | 19.70 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL | 4.9% | 20.39 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 4.2% | 23.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | ETERNAL FORTUNE | 3.6% | 28.01 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | CARROLL STREET | 3.6% | 28.09 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.5% | 39.62 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 2.5% | 39.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 2.2% | 45.05 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 59
PLACE
4 22
5 52.5
6 16
QUINELLA
4,6 135.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 203.5
4,6 53.5
5,6 115
FORECAST
4,6 295
TIERCE
4,6,5 3,735
TRIO
4,5,6 916
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 1,932
QUARTET
4,6,5,2 33,114
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
6/4 390.5
6/6 55.5