沙田 · 2024-10-23 · 15:00
第 8場
2024-10-23沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的CAPITAL DELIGHT勝出，贏出1-1/4。MUST GO獲得亞軍；SKY FOREVER獲得季軍。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT 1.08.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 9.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SKY FOREVER B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | KA YING CHEER V/TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 1 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | PACKING BOLE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ALPHA ONE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 2 | 6.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | ONE FOR ALL B/XB/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 39.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 23.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | VICTORY MOMENTS B/SR/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 11 | 10.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 30.0 | 23-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 24.1% | 4.14 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 17.5% | 5.72 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | KA YING CHEER | 9.0% | 11.06 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | PACKING BOLE | 8.3% | 12.08 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 7.9% | 12.64 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | ALPHA ONE | 6.5% | 15.43 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 6.3% | 15.90 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | MUST GO | 5.2% | 19.32 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | HONG KONG HALL | 5.2% | 19.41 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | ONE FOR ALL | 3.9% | 25.72 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | HEROIC MASTER | 3.4% | 29.14 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SKY FOREVER | 2.7% | 36.55 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42
PLACE
1 16
9 30
12 44.5
QUINELLA
1,9 336.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 96.5
1,12 109
9,12 306.5
FORECAST
1,9 415
TIERCE
1,9,12 4,454
TRIO
1,9,12 1,115
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 2,002
QUARTET
1,9,12,10 29,113
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
9/2/1 2,211
9/2/9 805
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/1,9,12 285,819
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 365
2/9 164
SIX UP
7,10/5,11/3,6/1,9/2,7/1,9 30,244
5 [C Y Ho] —
2 [P C Ng] —