沙田 · 2024-10-23 · 13:55
第 6場
2024-10-23沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、P C Ng訓練的ROBOT KNIGHT勝出，贏出2-1/2。GOLDEN LONG獲得亞軍；ACA POWER獲得季軍。5.4倍大熱門HOLY POWER跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT TT 1.09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 7.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 8.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | LIGHTNING BOLT B1/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | REGENT GLORY B E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 6.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | FAMILY FORTUNE TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 12 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING DRAGON B- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HOLY POWER B-/PC1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 5.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 8 | 7.5 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | SO TREASURE P1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 19.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JOLLY COMPANION | 29.2% | 3.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | HOLY POWER | 19.3% | 5.19 | 9 |
| 3 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 8.0% | 12.56 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ACA POWER | 8.0% | 12.57 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 7.1% | 14.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | GOLDEN LONG | 6.9% | 14.54 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | REGENT GLORY | 5.3% | 18.91 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 4.6% | 21.59 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | SO TREASURE | 4.1% | 24.29 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.14 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 2.4% | 41.24 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 1.8% | 55.89 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 67
PLACE
1 34.5
4 21.5
9 25.5
QUINELLA
1,9 345
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 120
1,9 119.5
4,9 84.5
FORECAST
9,1 908
TIERCE
9,1,4 4,486
TRIO
1,4,9 958
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 1,536
QUARTET
9,1,4,2 40,061
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/1,4,9 526,171
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 211
6/9 1,206.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,11/3,6,12/1,4,9 6,349,364
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,11/3,6,12/Any Combination 17,587