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Sha Tin · 2024-10-23 · 13:55

Race 6

Class 4 1200m 12 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-23 was Class 4 over 1200m. ROBOT KNIGHT, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 2-1/2, with GOLDEN LONG second and ACA POWER third. The 5.4 favourite HOLY POWER finished 9th.

Result

Official · 1.09.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 ROBOT KNIGHT TT 1.09.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 6.7 2-1/2
2 1 GOLDEN LONG TT K C Leung · F C Lor 9 7.6 2-1/2
3 4 ACA POWER CP A Badel · D J Hall 7 8.4 2-3/4
4 2 LIGHTNING BOLT B1/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 6 11.0 3-1/2
5 3 REGENT GLORY B E C W Wong · D A Hayes 5 12.0 4-1/4
6 5 JOLLY COMPANION CP/TT P N Wong · K L Man 2 6.0 4-3/4
7 10 FAMILY FORTUNE TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 12 35.0 5-3/4
8 7 FLYING DRAGON B- M F Poon · C H Yip 1 32.0 6-1/4
9 8 HOLY POWER B-/PC1/TT Z Purton · J Richards 3 5.4 7-1/4
10 11 COSMO NAVIGATOR B Y L Chung · C W Chang 8 7.5 7-1/2
11 6 SO TREASURE P1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 11 18.0 8-1/4
12 12 STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 10 19.0 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROBOT KNIGHT2. GOLDEN LONG+2.5L3. ACA POWER+2.75L4. LIGHTNING BOLT+3.5L5. REGENT GLORY+4.25L6. JOLLY COMPANION+4.75L7. FAMILY FORTUNE+5.75L8. FLYING DRAGON+6.25L9. HOLY POWER+7.25L10. COSMO NAVIGATOR+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick JOLLY COMPANION (29.2%) finished 6th — the winner ROBOT KNIGHT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 JOLLY COMPANION 29.2% 3.43 6
2 8 HOLY POWER 19.3% 5.19 9
3 9 ROBOT KNIGHT 8.0% 12.56 1
4 4 ACA POWER 8.0% 12.57 3
5 2 LIGHTNING BOLT 7.1% 14.10 4
6 1 GOLDEN LONG 6.9% 14.54 2
7 3 REGENT GLORY 5.3% 18.91 5
8 11 COSMO NAVIGATOR 4.6% 21.59 10
9 6 SO TREASURE 4.1% 24.29 11
10 7 FLYING DRAGON 3.4% 29.14 8
11 10 FAMILY FORTUNE 2.4% 41.24 7
12 12 STRIVE FOR GLORY 1.8% 55.89 12
JOLLY COMPANIONHOLY POWERROBOT KNIGHT — wonACA POWERLIGHTNING BOLTGOLDEN LONGREGENT GLORYCOSMO NAVIGATORSO TREASUREFLYING DRAGONFAMILY FORTUNESTRIVE FOR GLORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 67

PLACE

1 34.5

4 21.5

9 25.5

QUINELLA

1,9 345

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 120

1,9 119.5

4,9 84.5

FORECAST

9,1 908

TIERCE

9,1,4 4,486

TRIO

1,4,9 958

FIRST 4

1,2,4,9 1,536

QUARTET

9,1,4,2 40,061

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,12/1,4,9 526,171

5TH DOUBLE

6/1 211

6/9 1,206.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,5,11/3,6,12/1,4,9 6,349,364

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,5,11/3,6,12/Any Combination 17,587