Sha Tin · 2024-10-23 · 13:25
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-23 was Class 4 over 1200m. SUNNY DARLING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-3/4, with SHANGHAI STYLE second and SONIC BOOM third. The 4.0 favourite HINOKAMI KAGURA finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUNNY DARLING SR-/B/TT 1.09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 10 | 9.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 3 | 5.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 5 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BOWSER PC/TT B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 11 | 4.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | HINOKAMI KAGURA PC/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 8 | 4.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | ALL EYES ON ME M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 77.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | MR VALIANT CP-/B1 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ALWAYS FLUKE CP-/XB-/B1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.8 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | OMAKASE Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 25.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | MAJESTIC COLOUR B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 19.0 | 9 |
| — | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 19.9% | 5.02 | 9 |
| 2 | 8 | HINOKAMI KAGURA | 15.0% | 6.65 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 10.0% | 10.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BOWSER | 9.9% | 10.10 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | MR VALIANT | 8.9% | 11.26 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | DAILY TROPHY | 8.2% | 12.12 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 7.2% | 13.94 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | OMAKASE | 5.9% | 17.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | SONIC BOOM | 5.8% | 17.19 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | SUNNY DARLING | 5.1% | 19.74 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | ALL EYES ON ME | 4.1% | 24.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 91
PLACE
3 20.5
6 32.5
12 40
QUINELLA
3,6 268
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 80
3,12 134
6,12 186.5
FORECAST
6,3 726
TIERCE
6,3,12 5,755
TRIO
3,6,12 1,074
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 3,320
QUARTET
6,3,12,10 73,079
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/11/3 2,145
10/11/6 21,258
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 55
11/6 890