Sha Tin · 2024-10-23 · 20:16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.40.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 7 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER Led early H-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HAKKA RADIANCE Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 6 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ONLY U Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 8.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MILES AWAY CP M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 10 | 18.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 35.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | FLOOF Closed strongly TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.7 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | VIVA HUNTER TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 14.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH B-/P2/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 12.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | GOR MO TUEN TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 1 | 43.0 | 21-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-23 was Class 4 over 1650m. NEVER PETER OUT, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with LUCKY BANNER second and HAKKA RADIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite HAKKA RADIANCE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER | 27.0% | 3.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FLOOF | 21.5% | 4.65 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 15.0% | 6.65 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | PERFECT PEACH | 7.1% | 14.01 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | ONLY U | 7.1% | 14.12 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.8% | 17.14 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | SMART BEAUTY | 5.5% | 18.14 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 4.8% | 21.05 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | NEVER PETER OUT | 3.9% | 25.56 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | MILES AWAY | 1.4% | 72.76 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | GOR MO TUEN | 0.9% | 110.48 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 159.5
PLACE
6 15.5
7 18
10 51
QUINELLA
7,10 449
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 39
6,10 122.5
7,10 153
FORECAST
10,7 1,053
TIERCE
10,7,6 4,650
TRIO
6,7,10 667
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 1,097
QUARTET
10,7,6,5 36,468
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/7 308
2/10 6,746.5