Sha Tin · 2024-10-23 · 14:25
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-23 was Class 3 over 1650m. TURIN MASCOT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with FIGHTING MACHINE second and SUPREME AGILITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.6 favourite TALENTS AMBITION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT 1.39.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly B/SR/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 9 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM Led early H-/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 3 | 1.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 7 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | TOY SOLTERO SR/XB L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 2 | 69.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SATIRICAL FAN CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 38.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GOOD LUCK BABE XB1/TT1 M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 10 | 92.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 30.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | TALENTS AMBITION | 30.0% | 3.33 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | TURIN MASCOT | 21.1% | 4.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPREME AGILITY | 7.0% | 14.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 5.9% | 16.93 | 8 |
| 7 | 8 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 5.7% | 17.53 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | APACHE PASS | 4.9% | 20.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 3.0% | 33.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION | 1.8% | 54.55 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | SATIRICAL FAN | 1.7% | 58.73 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | TOY SOLTERO | 1.2% | 80.73 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 73.5
PLACE
2 17
3 54
7 36.5
QUINELLA
2,7 408
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 152
2,7 112
3,7 318
FORECAST
2,7 871
TIERCE
2,7,3 5,243
TRIO
2,3,7 1,323
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 2,332
QUARTET
2,7,3,4 48,236
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
9/2 481.5
9/7 245.5