Sha Tin · 2024-10-23 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly V-/B2/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | JOYFUL CHAMPION Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 7.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GO GO GO Closed strongly PC/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 4.4 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLDEN FAIRY A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FURY AND GOLD Closed strongly B-/P1/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GO HERO B/TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.6 | 14 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING TURN Led early B-/PC1/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 43.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP2 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 4 | 33.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | NICE BIRDIE TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 21-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FRUITY WARRIOR TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 8 | 4.3 | 21-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-10-23 was Class 5 over 1800m. COLOURFUL BARON, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/2, with KEEN UNITY second and JOYFUL CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite FRUITY WARRIOR finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GO GO GO | 44.8% | 2.23 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 9.3% | 10.70 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | COLOURFUL BARON | 7.6% | 13.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | GO HERO | 7.1% | 14.00 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | NICE BIRDIE | 6.5% | 15.43 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | FURY AND GOLD | 6.2% | 16.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | SUNNY BABY | 5.6% | 18.01 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.1% | 24.29 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | KEEN UNITY | 3.7% | 26.76 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 3.2% | 31.69 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | WINNING TURN | 1.9% | 53.32 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 71.5
PLACE
9 23.5
10 33.5
11 20
QUINELLA
9,10 450.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 137
9,11 78.5
10,11 117
FORECAST
9,10 803
TIERCE
9,10,11 3,610
TRIO
9,10,11 654
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 623
QUARTET
9,10,11,1 18,856