跑馬地 · 2024-10-27 · 09:55
第 10場
2024-10-27跑馬地第10場，Class 2，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的COPARTNER PRANCE勝出，贏出NOSE。LUCKY ENCOUNTER獲得亞軍；RAGING BLIZZARD獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門GORGEOUS WIN跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 4.9 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.9 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD P B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SING DRAGON H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SIX PACK L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE H-/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | GORGEOUS WIN TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SEASONS WIT SR/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 4 | 29.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | DANCING CODE B2/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | WONDERSTAR B1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 61.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | GORGEOUS WIN | 15.8% | 6.33 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 12.4% | 8.04 | 12 |
| 4 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 11.5% | 8.68 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 8.2% | 12.15 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | DANCING CODE | 6.8% | 14.73 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 5.4% | 18.57 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 4.8% | 20.62 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | SING DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.31 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SEASONS WIT | 4.7% | 21.36 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | WONDERSTAR | 2.7% | 36.81 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | SIX PACK | 2.6% | 38.29 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 49
PLACE
1 21
5 23
7 22
QUINELLA
1,5 248.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 82.5
1,7 67.5
5,7 89
FORECAST
1,5 426
TIERCE
1,5,7 2,151
TRIO
1,5,7 468
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 2,084
QUARTET
1,5,7,3 31,028
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
7/10/1 25,737
7/10/5 9,025
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,10/1,5,7 77,369
9TH DOUBLE
10/1 171.5
10/5 87
SIX UP
6,8/7/10/7/10/1 2,727,706
6,8,9/4,7,10/9,10/7,8/5,10/1,5 16,611
2 [Z Purton] —
2 [D A Hayes] —