跑馬地 · 2024-10-27 · 06:20
第 4場
2024-10-27跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的DENFIELD勝出，贏出1-1/4。YOUNG HORIZON獲得亞軍；LAKESHORE HERO獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門LUCKY PLANET跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DENFIELD TT 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 9.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | LAKESHORE HERO B1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | SPEED SWORD TT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 3 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | THE PRIME CP-/B1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 9 | 141.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 2.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | QINGYUAN STAR CP/TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 77.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | VALHALLA XB/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND TT B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 12 | 56.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FUNG B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 40.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | YEAH BUDDY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 27.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY PLANET | 35.7% | 2.80 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | DENFIELD | 23.8% | 4.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | YOUNG HORIZON | 9.1% | 10.95 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 7.0% | 14.27 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | VALHALLA | 5.7% | 17.45 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | LAKESHORE HERO | 4.2% | 23.66 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | SPEED SWORD | 3.7% | 26.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | YEAH BUDDY | 3.5% | 28.93 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | QINGYUAN STAR | 2.5% | 40.00 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | FUNG | 2.0% | 50.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND | 1.8% | 55.64 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | THE PRIME | 1.0% | 101.09 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 29
PLACE
1 12.5
3 39.5
10 26.5
QUINELLA
1,10 131.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 90.5
1,10 43.5
3,10 211.5
FORECAST
1,10 238
TIERCE
1,10,3 2,364
TRIO
1,3,10 623
FIRST 4
1,3,9,10 1,051
QUARTET
1,10,3,9 13,356
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,12/1,3,10 178,509
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 153
7/10 125