跑馬地 · 2024-11-06
第 3場
2024-11-06跑馬地第3場，Class 5，途程1200米。由M F Poon策騎、K L Man訓練的ISLAND GOLDEN勝出，贏出SH。SUPER EAGLE獲得亞軍；JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門SPEEDY CHARIOT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT 1.10.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER EAGLE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 7.1 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 1 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | COOL BLUE V-/B2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPER ELITE B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 3.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | ALLOY KING V-/B2 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY FEELING B-/SR-/TT- B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 8 | 84.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ACE TALENT H/P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY CP/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER ELITE | 23.7% | 4.23 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 18.3% | 5.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | ACE TALENT | 9.7% | 10.31 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | SAME TO YOU | 9.2% | 10.91 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER EAGLE | 8.2% | 12.16 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 7.3% | 13.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 7.3% | 13.72 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 4.6% | 21.52 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 4.5% | 22.21 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | COOL BLUE | 3.9% | 25.95 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | ALLOY KING | 2.1% | 48.48 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY FEELING | 1.3% | 77.17 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 105
PLACE
3 33
6 21.5
8 34.5
QUINELLA
3,6 487
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 135
3,8 176
6,8 137
FORECAST
3,6 1,061
TIERCE
3,6,8 9,961
TRIO
3,6,8 1,874
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 1,614
QUARTET
3,6,8,5 64,537
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,11/3,6,8 1,212,784
2ND DOUBLE
11/3 1,046.5
11/6 144