跑馬地 · 2024-11-06
第 6場
2024-11-06跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GIANT LEAP勝出，贏出1-1/4。YEE CHEONG SPIRIT獲得亞軍；PRIME MORTAR獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門YEE CHEONG SPIRIT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GIANT LEAP SB-/B2 1.09.82 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT H/XB/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 28.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 6 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 11 | 5.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | FOOLISH HEART V-/B1/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 9 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | JOY COMING B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO B/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SPICY KNUCKLES H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 21.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR XB/B1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALLANT VALOUR | 15.8% | 6.34 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 14.0% | 7.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | GIANT LEAP | 12.5% | 8.00 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR | 9.5% | 10.57 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 9.0% | 11.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY TRIO | 8.5% | 11.73 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | PRIME MORTAR | 8.4% | 11.95 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | LYRICAL MOTION | 6.7% | 14.91 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | JOY COMING | 5.8% | 17.30 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | FOOLISH HEART | 4.4% | 22.61 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 3.4% | 29.35 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | SPICY KNUCKLES | 2.1% | 48.74 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 122
PLACE
2 60.5
5 32.5
8 15
QUINELLA
5,8 170.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 287.5
2,8 128.5
5,8 67
FORECAST
5,8 523
TIERCE
5,8,2 6,875
TRIO
2,5,8 1,117
FIRST 4
1,2,5,8 1,010
QUARTET
5,8,2,1 30,026
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
8/5 954.5
8/8 66