跑馬地 · 2024-11-06
第 7場
2024-11-06跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1800米。由K Teetan策騎、P C Ng訓練的WINNING STEPS勝出，贏出N。CHAIN OF GOLD獲得亞軍；ROCKET SPADE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門CHAIN OF GOLD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC 1.48.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD 後段發力 CP/H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE 後段發力 XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS 後段發力 V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | HAMERON XB- L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | RED MAJESTY 早段領放 B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH B1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 4.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GOOD LUCK BABE XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 67.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 28.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 25.3% | 3.95 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 19.5% | 5.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS | 13.5% | 7.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | HAMERON | 8.5% | 11.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | WINNING STEPS | 6.5% | 15.44 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | RED MAJESTY | 6.4% | 15.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.6% | 17.79 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.4% | 29.60 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 2.7% | 36.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 0.5% | 187.71 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 106.5
PLACE
5 17.5
6 23.5
11 29
QUINELLA
5,11 232.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 66.5
5,11 77
6,11 96.5
FORECAST
11,5 575
TIERCE
11,5,6 2,534
TRIO
5,6,11 397
FIRST 4
4,5,6,11 318
QUARTET
11,5,6,4 9,583
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/5,6,11 35,960
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 91
5/11 1,107.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,8/2,5,8/5,6,11 1,730,702
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,8/2,5,8/Any Combination 3,302