Happy Valley · 2024-11-06
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-06 was Class 3 over 1800m. WINNING STEPS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with CHAIN OF GOLD second and ROCKET SPADE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CHAIN OF GOLD finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC 1.48.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | HAMERON XB- L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH B1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 4.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GOOD LUCK BABE XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 67.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 28.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 25.3% | 3.95 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 19.5% | 5.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS | 13.5% | 7.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | HAMERON | 8.5% | 11.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | WINNING STEPS | 6.5% | 15.44 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | RED MAJESTY | 6.4% | 15.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.6% | 17.79 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.4% | 29.60 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 2.7% | 36.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 0.5% | 187.71 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 106.5
PLACE
5 17.5
6 23.5
11 29
QUINELLA
5,11 232.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 66.5
5,11 77
6,11 96.5
FORECAST
11,5 575
TIERCE
11,5,6 2,534
TRIO
5,6,11 397
FIRST 4
4,5,6,11 318
QUARTET
11,5,6,4 9,583
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/5,6,11 35,960
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 91
5/11 1,107.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,8/2,5,8/5,6,11 1,730,702
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,8/2,5,8/Any Combination 3,302