Happy Valley · 2024-11-06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC 1.48.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 2 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS Closed strongly V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 7.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | HAMERON XB- L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH B1/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 9 | 4.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GOOD LUCK BABE XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 67.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 28.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-06 was Class 3 over 1800m. WINNING STEPS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by N, with CHAIN OF GOLD second and ROCKET SPADE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CHAIN OF GOLD finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 25.3% | 3.95 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 19.5% | 5.14 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | ILLUMINOUS | 13.5% | 7.39 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | HAMERON | 8.5% | 11.82 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | ROCKET SPADE | 8.1% | 12.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | WINNING STEPS | 6.5% | 15.44 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | RED MAJESTY | 6.4% | 15.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | QUANTUM PATCH | 5.6% | 17.79 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.4% | 29.60 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 2.7% | 36.45 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 0.5% | 187.71 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 106.5
PLACE
5 17.5
6 23.5
11 29
QUINELLA
5,11 232.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 66.5
5,11 77
6,11 96.5
FORECAST
11,5 575
TIERCE
11,5,6 2,534
TRIO
5,6,11 397
FIRST 4
4,5,6,11 318
QUARTET
11,5,6,4 9,583
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,8/5,6,11 35,960
6TH DOUBLE
5/5 91
5/11 1,107.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,8/2,5,8/5,6,11 1,730,702
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,8/2,5,8/Any Combination 3,302