Happy Valley · 2024-11-06
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT 1.40.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.9 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 10 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 7.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 67.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 11 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | KIMBERLEY Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 6.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | APOLAR FIGHTER CP/TT C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 8 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | GALVANIC TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 4.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | DEVILDOM Closed strongly B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 55.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly B L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 71.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.1 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LORD OF THE ROSE M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 134.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | POCHETTINO · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-06 was Class 4 over 1650m. PRINCE ALEX, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with SURE JOYFUL second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite GALVANIC finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN BEAST | 29.0% | 3.45 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | GALVANIC | 13.4% | 7.46 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL | 12.3% | 8.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | PRINCE ALEX | 10.0% | 9.99 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | GALLANT CROWN | 9.5% | 10.53 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | KIMBERLEY | 9.0% | 11.05 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | DEVILDOM | 3.9% | 25.62 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 3.6% | 27.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | SMILING EMPEROR | 3.4% | 29.26 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 3.3% | 30.77 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 1.8% | 57.11 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | LORD OF THE ROSE | 0.8% | 120.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 89
PLACE
2 25
3 26
10 24.5
QUINELLA
3,10 352.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 112
2,10 96.5
3,10 101
FORECAST
10,3 691
TIERCE
10,3,2 4,392
TRIO
2,3,10 572
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 6,672
QUARTET
10,3,2,5 145,777
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/3 176.5
3/10 1,073.5