Happy Valley · 2024-11-06
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-06 was Class 2 over 1650m. CHILL CHIBI, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with FLAMINGO TRILLION second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MR ASCENDENCY TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 48.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | KEEFY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 40.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | YELLOWFIN XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | NATURAL STORM B-/V2 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 65.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 19.8% | 5.05 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | CHILL CHIBI | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | TURIN MASCOT | 11.4% | 8.81 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 10.8% | 9.24 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 8.8% | 11.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | RED HARE KING | 8.2% | 12.24 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | WOODFIRE BRO | 6.5% | 15.47 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | STAR CONTACT | 5.9% | 17.03 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 3.3% | 29.92 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | MR ASCENDENCY | 3.2% | 31.39 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | KEEFY | 2.2% | 46.37 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | NATURAL STORM | 2.0% | 48.87 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 24
PLACE
2 47.5
6 13.5
7 18.5
QUINELLA
6,7 80
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 98.5
2,7 155.5
6,7 38.5
FORECAST
6,7 140
TIERCE
6,7,2 1,654
TRIO
2,6,7 523
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 667
QUARTET
6,7,2,9 10,535
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
11/2/6 3,385
11/2/7 417
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/2,6,7 35,273
8TH DOUBLE
2/6 383.5
2/7 63
SIX UP
3,10/4,8/5,8/5,11/2,11/6,7 1,071
10/8/5/11/2/6 2,556,262
4 [K Teetan] —
8 [F C Lor] —