Happy Valley · 2024-11-06
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-06 was Class 5 over 1200m. PODIUM, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/4, with GORGEOUS VITALITY second and WINNING HEART third. The 2.9 favourite JOYFUL LIFE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PODIUM TT 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 9 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | GORGEOUS VITALITY TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 3 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | WINNING HEART B/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER CHARIZZARD PC L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | HO HO STAR H B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | WOODFIRE CHAMP CP/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 11 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | JOYFUL LIFE TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | MULTIDARLING TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 48.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | MAGIC TRAVELLER CP/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.5 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER GLORY PC-/P1/TT1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOYFUL LIFE | 18.0% | 5.54 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL | 13.5% | 7.41 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | HO HO STAR | 12.9% | 7.75 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 9.5% | 10.47 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 9.5% | 10.58 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING HEART | 6.2% | 16.02 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 5.7% | 17.63 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 5.6% | 17.84 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | MULTIDARLING | 5.6% | 18.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | MAGIC TRAVELLER | 4.8% | 20.64 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | PODIUM | 4.8% | 20.98 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | SUPER GLORY | 3.9% | 25.86 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 91
PLACE
3 23
6 62
11 28
QUINELLA
6,11 996.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 279.5
3,11 132.5
6,11 287
FORECAST
11,6 1,967
TIERCE
11,6,3 21,553
TRIO
3,6,11 3,190
FIRST 4
3,6,7,11 9,819
QUARTET
11,6,3,7 217,189
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/6 416.5
11/11 573.5