沙田 · 2024-11-09
第 9場
2024-11-09沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的SAVVY BRILLIANT勝出，贏出N。SUPER INFINITY獲得亞軍；STORM RIDER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAVVY BRILLIANT XB/TT 1.08.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER INFINITY CP H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 2 | 4.4 | N |
| 3 | 7 | STORM RIDER CP1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WONDERSTAR B L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 12 | 126.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | AERIS NOVA B1/TT1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 85.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | CAPTAIN WIN B/TT2 C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 1 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | FLYING FORTRESS TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 10 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | BLESSED NATION XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 89.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT CP P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | HE WAS ME B1/H1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 123.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | CELESTIAL HARMONY E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 14 | 226.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | CHARMING BABE TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 32.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 22.9% | 4.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER INFINITY | 17.0% | 5.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | CAPTAIN WIN | 10.8% | 9.25 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | STORM RIDER | 6.2% | 16.04 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 6.0% | 16.54 | 13 |
| 6 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT | 5.9% | 16.85 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 5.6% | 17.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | HE WAS ME | 5.6% | 17.97 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | CHARMING BABE | 5.1% | 19.67 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | FLYING FORTRESS | 4.1% | 24.69 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | AERIS NOVA | 3.8% | 26.09 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | BLESSED NATION | 2.9% | 34.19 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | ENTERPRISE ATTACK | 2.8% | 36.05 | 9 |
| 14 | 1 | WONDERSTAR | 1.2% | 81.60 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25
PLACE
4 14
7 29.5
12 13.5
QUINELLA
4,12 50
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 63
4,12 23
7,12 67
FORECAST
4,12 85
TIERCE
4,12,7 697
TRIO
4,7,12 178
FIRST 4
4,7,12,14 460
QUARTET
4,12,7,14 5,282
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
11/4 533.5
11/12 48.5