沙田 · 2024-11-09
第 7場
2024-11-09沙田第7場，Class 2，途程1400米。由M F Poon策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GREEN N WHITE勝出，贏出1-1/4。PACKING HERMOD獲得亞軍；DROMBEG BANNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門BOTTOMUPTOGETHER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE 後段發力 1.20.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PACKING HERMOD L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | DROMBEG BANNER 早段領放 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER 後段發力 CP/H A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | YOUNG CHAMPION 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 14 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR/TT1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | RUBYLOT A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 62.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL 後段發力 B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPERB BOY TT B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 7 | 99.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 61.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | SIX PACK H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 49.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SUPREME LUCKY TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 13 | 92.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | HARMONY GREAT TT1 M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 1 | 161.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PACKING HERMOD | 20.3% | 4.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 13.4% | 7.44 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | RUBYLOT | 12.4% | 8.06 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | GREEN N WHITE | 12.2% | 8.23 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 7.3% | 13.77 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | DROMBEG BANNER | 6.7% | 14.86 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 6.2% | 16.23 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 5.6% | 18.01 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPREME LUCKY | 3.4% | 29.70 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 3.3% | 29.93 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPERB BOY | 3.1% | 32.52 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | SIX PACK | 2.7% | 37.20 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 2.2% | 44.96 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | HARMONY GREAT | 1.3% | 77.48 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 68
PLACE
2 48.5
8 23.5
11 18
QUINELLA
8,11 152
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 153
2,11 157.5
8,11 63
FORECAST
8,11 414
TIERCE
8,11,2 4,906
TRIO
2,8,11 744
FIRST 4
2,7,8,11 815
QUARTET
8,11,2,7 19,922
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
6/8 205.5
6/11 28.5