沙田 · 2024-11-09
第 2場
2024-11-09沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的KA YING ATTACK勝出，贏出SH。JUNEAU PRIDE獲得亞軍；ETALON OR獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門CIRCUIT JOLLY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KA YING ATTACK 1.09.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 4.3 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | ETALON OR B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.9 | N |
| 4 | 3 | CIRCUIT JOLLY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PATCH OF STARS TT1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAR CHAMP H1 A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 8 | 45.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | DRAGON SUNRISE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 13 | 127.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | CASHISCASH XB-/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 65.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | SONIC PURSUIT TT1 C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE XB1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 44.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY BLESSING P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 1 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | REWARDING BUDDY CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 64.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 12 | 157.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT JOLLY | 23.8% | 4.19 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 19.2% | 5.20 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 12.5% | 7.99 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY BLESSING | 6.4% | 15.51 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | REWARDING BUDDY | 5.7% | 17.60 | 13 |
| 6 | 5 | ETALON OR | 5.6% | 17.82 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SONIC PURSUIT | 5.6% | 17.92 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 4.6% | 21.83 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | PATCH OF STARS | 4.6% | 21.94 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | KA YING ATTACK | 3.7% | 26.76 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 3.7% | 27.22 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAR CHAMP | 2.3% | 44.35 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | CASHISCASH | 1.8% | 55.62 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE | 0.5% | 206.66 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 128.5
PLACE
1 15.5
5 18
6 34
QUINELLA
1,6 243.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 45.5
1,6 80
5,6 93.5
FORECAST
6,1 539
TIERCE
6,1,5 1,725
TRIO
1,5,6 227
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 103
QUARTET
6,1,5,3 3,158
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 90.5
4/6 753
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,13/1,5,6 45,095