沙田 · 2024-11-09
第 3場
2024-11-09沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、W K Mo訓練的PATCH OF TIME勝出，贏出1/2。MASTER PHOENIX獲得亞軍；ROMAN CROWN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PATCH OF TIME H 1.09.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 10 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | MASTER PHOENIX B1/TT1 C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 11 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | ROMAN CROWN Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CITY THUNDER TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 1 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | RACINGRACE XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE H-/B1/E1/TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 70.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 78.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY SR1/TT1 M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 7 | 86.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | HE WAS YOU TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | EURO ROCKS B-/SR1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BRILLIANT FIRE H/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 14 | 97.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | LIFE OF STONE CP- K De Melo · T P Yung | K De Melo | T P Yung | 9 | 97.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | MONARCH COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 7.1 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION | 16.4% | 6.09 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | PATCH OF TIME | 13.1% | 7.64 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | MONARCH COUNTY | 11.7% | 8.51 | 14 |
| 4 | 8 | MASTER PHOENIX | 11.1% | 8.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | HE WAS YOU | 8.5% | 11.82 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | EURO ROCKS | 8.2% | 12.27 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | ROMAN CROWN | 7.7% | 12.96 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | RACINGRACE | 5.3% | 18.81 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 5.2% | 19.26 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 4.5% | 22.37 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CITY THUNDER | 3.2% | 31.73 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | MEANINGFUL DRAGON | 2.5% | 40.06 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | LIFE OF STONE | 1.6% | 61.96 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE | 1.1% | 94.64 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 29.5
PLACE
2 21.5
8 51.5
12 13.5
QUINELLA
8,12 293
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 206.5
2,12 38
8,12 112
FORECAST
12,8 437
TIERCE
12,8,2 2,256
TRIO
2,8,12 506
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 1,814
QUARTET
12,8,2,3 31,377
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
6/8 203
6/12 333.5