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Sha Tin · 2024-11-09

Race 7

Class 2 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-09 was Class 2 over 1400m. GREEN N WHITE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with PACKING HERMOD second and DROMBEG BANNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite BOTTOMUPTOGETHER finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.20.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 GREEN N WHITE Closed strongly 1.20.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 6.8 1-1/4
2 11 PACKING HERMOD L Hewitson · K W Lui 9 4.6 1-1/4
3 2 DROMBEG BANNER Led early A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 18.0 1-1/4
4 7 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H A Hamelin · P F Yiu 12 5.9 1-1/4
5 5 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 14 10.0 2-1/2
6 6 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR/TT1 M Chadwick · F C Lor 10 3.6 2-1/2
7 12 RUBYLOT A Badel · D A Hayes 6 7.6 3
8 4 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 11 62.0 3
9 3 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 8 24.0 3-3/4
10 9 SUPERB BOY TT B Thompson · K W Lui 7 99.0 4
11 1 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 5 61.0 4-1/2
12 14 SIX PACK H Bentley · D J Whyte 4 49.0 4-3/4
13 10 SUPREME LUCKY TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 13 92.0 6-1/2
14 13 HARMONY GREAT TT1 M L Yeung · C S Shum 1 161.0 15

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GREEN N WHITE2. PACKING HERMOD+1.25L3. DROMBEG BANNER+1.25L4. SUNLIGHT POWER+1.25L5. YOUNG CHAMPION+2.5L6. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER+2.5L7. RUBYLOT+3L8. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+3L9. ATULLIBIGEAL+3.75L10. SUPERB BOY+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PACKING HERMOD (20.3%) finished 2nd — the winner GREEN N WHITE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 PACKING HERMOD 20.3% 4.93 2
2 6 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 13.4% 7.44 6
3 12 RUBYLOT 12.4% 8.06 7
4 8 GREEN N WHITE 12.2% 8.23 1
5 5 YOUNG CHAMPION 7.3% 13.77 5
6 2 DROMBEG BANNER 6.7% 14.86 3
7 3 ATULLIBIGEAL 6.2% 16.23 9
8 7 SUNLIGHT POWER 5.6% 18.01 4
9 10 SUPREME LUCKY 3.4% 29.70 13
10 1 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 3.3% 29.93 11
11 9 SUPERB BOY 3.1% 32.52 10
12 14 SIX PACK 2.7% 37.20 12
13 4 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 2.2% 44.96 8
14 13 HARMONY GREAT 1.3% 77.48 14
PACKING HERMODBOTTOMUPTOGETHERRUBYLOTGREEN N WHITE — wonYOUNG CHAMPIONDROMBEG BANNERATULLIBIGEALSUNLIGHT POWERSUPREME LUCKYTHE GOLDEN SCENERYSUPERB BOYSIX PACKCHIU CHOW SPIRITHARMONY GREAT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 68

PLACE

2 48.5

8 23.5

11 18

QUINELLA

8,11 152

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 153

2,11 157.5

8,11 63

FORECAST

8,11 414

TIERCE

8,11,2 4,906

TRIO

2,8,11 744

FIRST 4

2,7,8,11 815

QUARTET

8,11,2,7 19,922

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

6/8 205.5

6/11 28.5