Sha Tin · 2024-11-09
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 10.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 7 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S Closed strongly CP1/TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 3.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly XB1/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 5 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING Closed strongly K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | NEBRASKAN Led early PC B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | JUBILANT WINNER Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | GOLD MASTER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 30.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RAN RUN B2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | SUNNY DA BEST TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | QINGYUAN STAR CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 153.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | FIGHT TIME B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 4.8 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | DEAL COMPLETED B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 25.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SKY DEEP Closed strongly L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 135.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | MASTER STROKE B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 14 | 165.0 | 25-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-09 was Class 4 over 1400m. STRATHPEFFER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by NOSE, with LEGEND ST PAUL'S second and FASHION LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite LEGEND ST PAUL'S finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LEGEND ST PAUL'S | 23.6% | 4.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | JUBILANT WINNER | 15.8% | 6.34 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | SKY DEEP | 11.0% | 9.09 | 13 |
| 4 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 8.4% | 11.90 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER | 6.7% | 14.99 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | SUNNY DA BEST | 6.5% | 15.46 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | GOLD MASTER | 5.3% | 18.92 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | NEBRASKAN | 5.3% | 19.04 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | DEAL COMPLETED | 4.6% | 21.83 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.62 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 3.2% | 31.03 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | QINGYUAN STAR | 2.9% | 34.81 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | RUN RAN RUN | 1.6% | 62.00 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | MASTER STROKE | 1.4% | 72.65 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 109
PLACE
3 32.5
7 15.5
11 28.5
QUINELLA
7,11 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 91.5
3,11 174.5
7,11 61.5
FORECAST
11,7 504
TIERCE
11,7,3 4,939
TRIO
3,7,11 732
FIRST 4
3,7,11,12 3,068
QUARTET
11,7,3,12 54,786
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/3,7,11 83,374
7TH DOUBLE
8/7 31
8/11 576