Sha Tin · 2024-11-09
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-09 was Class 2 over 1000m. MAGIC CONTROL, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by SH, with WUNDERBAR second and I GIVE third. The 1.4 favourite WUNDERBAR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MAGIC CONTROL TT 0.56.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 4.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | WUNDERBAR Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 1.4 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | I GIVE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | DANCING CODE B/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | WONDER KIT B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | PACKING TREADMILL CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 46.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 16.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WUNDERBAR | 55.0% | 1.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | MAGIC CONTROL | 13.8% | 7.24 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 8.4% | 11.93 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | WHIZZ KID | 6.7% | 14.87 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | PACKING TREADMILL | 4.3% | 23.29 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 3.6% | 27.46 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | I GIVE | 3.5% | 28.92 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | WONDER KIT | 2.4% | 42.42 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | DANCING CODE | 2.3% | 43.11 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 40.5
PLACE
3 10.5
6 10.5
9 53
QUINELLA
3,6 20.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 13
3,9 51.5
6,9 92.5
FORECAST
6,3 72
TIERCE
6,3,9 622
TRIO
3,6,9 123
FIRST 4
3,4,6,9 383
QUARTET
6,3,9,4 4,668
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,11/3,6,9 4,380
5TH DOUBLE
8/3 17
8/6 169.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,8,9/5,8,11/3,6,9 39,781
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,9/5,8,11/Any Combination 408