Sha Tin · 2024-11-09
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 4 | 5.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/PC2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 5 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | NEVER PETER OUT Closed strongly CP/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 7 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly V-/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 14 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ACA POWER Closed strongly CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 10 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 6 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FOREMOST TEDDY V/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 8.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | MOJAVE DESERT Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 8 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Led early V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.9 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | VIVA HUNTER TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 24.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | CURRAHEE CP/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 12 | 35.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 9.5 | 15 |
| 13 | 7 | ONLY U B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 43.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | TRUE GENIUS H-/SR/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 110.0 | 30-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-11-09 was Class 4 over 1650m. EXCEL WONGCHOY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P C Ng, won by 2, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and NEVER PETER OUT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.5 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 16.5% | 6.05 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 12.2% | 8.18 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 11.8% | 8.44 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 10.7% | 9.38 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | NEVER PETER OUT | 10.2% | 9.78 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 7.3% | 13.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | SIXTH GENERATION | 5.9% | 16.87 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS | 5.4% | 18.46 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | ONLY U | 5.1% | 19.59 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | ACA POWER | 4.7% | 21.32 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | VIVA HUNTER | 4.2% | 24.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | CURRAHEE | 2.2% | 45.24 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | TRUE GENIUS | 2.0% | 50.81 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | MOJAVE DESERT | 1.7% | 58.56 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 56
PLACE
5 24
8 21.5
11 23
QUINELLA
5,8 204
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 75
5,11 99
8,11 67.5
FORECAST
8,5 373
TIERCE
8,5,11 1,896
TRIO
5,8,11 376
FIRST 4
5,6,8,11 4,823
QUARTET
8,5,11,6 53,876
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
12/8/5 131
12/8/8 411
4TH DOUBLE
8/5 38.5
8/8 127.5